04/22/2008, 11:10am, EDT
Tuesday, April 22nd
AmTech downgrades Apple stock rating
American Technology Research is downgrading its rating of Apple's stock from "buy" to "neutral," according to firm analyst Shaw Wu. Wu notes that while Apple may well beat consensus estimates and its own guidance, there are several mitigating factors. Apple's stock has rebounded some 45 percent in weeks, which may be creating unrealistic expectations for investors; as such, they may not react well if Apple posts what would otherwise be reasonable figures. A related problem is that shares are now fairly expensive to trade, at 32x CY08 and 28x CY09, producing a situation with considerable risk compared to the profits to be had.
Wu also observes that while the second half of the year may be fantastic for Apple in terms of new products, there will likely be a lull within the next few months, particularly as AmTech's supply chain sources suggest that 3G iPhones will not ship in bulk until July, while new Macs will probably wait until September.
Considering all these factors, Wu notes that Apple stock value could slide to between $135 and $140, a point at which it would be much safer to invest in the company.
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Yeah, "could" if we anal-ysts can manipulate the stock price AGAIN (and AGAIN and AGAIN) and cash in on the inevitable upswing AGAIN (and AGAIN and AGAIN and AGAIN)!
I doubt it. It's Wu's job to analyze and forecast these things. You may not think they have any weight, but be sure he wouldn't be keeping his job if he was constantly wrong at his job.
But I guess you'd feel the same way about taking your car to Wu to get an estimate as your auto mechanic, right? I mean, since education and experience don't mean anything.
And why is Wu wrong? Just because he says everyone shouldn't be buying Apple stock like there's no tomorrow (which, if he did, he'd either be praised by the faithful for being the only one who 'gets it', or derided for trying to push the stock price up so he can sell high).
Sorry but I have NO time for these so called analysts, who make predictions, and then when they're wrong, you never hear of them again. Nuff said.
Sorry, but we've been hearing from Shaw Wu for years, so I'm not exactly sure what you mean by never hearing from them again. And if he is right, you'd just blast him for directing the market in the way he wants it to go, not saying he's correct.
It's nice to see so many fellow AAPL stock holders here, though...