Apple EPS to beat predictions in September: Piper

updated 11:10 am EDT, Mon September 22, 2008

Apple EPS predictions


Apple is likely to surpass earnings-per-share expectations for its September quarter, say analysts from Piper Jaffray. The research group says that it is raising its both its EPS and revenue predictions, from $1.04 and $7.9 billion to $1.17 and $8.37 billion. The Street, by contrast, is said to have adopted a middle view, of $1.11 EPS on $8.07 billion. The new Piper estimate is based on deeper analysis of NPD data.

Based on shipments in July and August, Piper says it expects Apple to have shipped 2.8 million Macs, 11 million iPods and 5 million iPhones by the end of the quarter; this compares to previous predictions of 2.5, 10.8 and 4.1 million, respectively. Piper remarks that the quarter may mark the first time the iPhone becomes a "meaningful" amount of booked revenue, possibly as high as 21 percent. In the June quarter, the booked figure totaled only 4 percent. Piper is estimating $1.60 in booked EPS for the September quarter.


by MacNN Staff


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Comments

  1. Constable Odo

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Aug 2007

    0

    Yikes, more revenue...

    If Apple keeps bringing in more revenue, the stock will really be hammered to death by WS. The more revenue they bring in, the lower the stock goes. If they have blowout numbers this quarter the stock will end down around $100 a share. I'm not sure I can take much more of this. The volatllity of Apple stock is incredible. Apple is the whipping child of WS madness.

  1. ZinkDifferent

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Jan 2005

    +1

    can't take more...?



    What do you mean? Wait for it to dip, buy more.

    Seems easy.

    Yes, I agree, that WS is being stupid when it comes to AAPL, repeatedly expecting more than Apple is guiding with... Then again, what do you expect from an industry herded by idiots.

  1. rtbarry

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Aug 2001

    0

    that oughta...

    ...drive the stock down some more.

  1. macjockey

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Jun 2004

    0

    time to pay dividends

    it's time to pay dividends to us stock holders steve!

  1. climacs

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Sep 2001

    +2

    doesn't matter

    after President Mugabe... er, Bush is done printing up $700 billion to throw at Wall Street, we'll be going back to barter and using seashells as currency, and dollars will only be worth using as kindling and toilet paper.

  1. LouZer

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Nov 2000

    -2

    Re: can't take more

    Yes, I agree, that WS is being stupid when it comes to AAPL, repeatedly expecting more than Apple is guiding with... Then again, what do you expect from an industry herded by idiots.

    They expect more because, as past history has shown, Apple guides low and thus always beats their guidance.

    If your partner kept saying "This month I expect to make $10,000" and always comes home with $12,000, sooner or later you'd start basing your expectations not on what is being stated, but what history has taught you, that the statement is low. So if they then change to say "I'm expecting $12,000", you'd be expecting $14000 .

    Apple decided a while ago they wanted to go the M$ route, guide low and beat your estimates (which is also safer, because you can't be sued for not meeting analyst predictions, you can be sued for not meeting your own predictions).

    And if Wall Street actually priced Apple to what they guide, it would be down farther now before earnings, because they'd be expecting less in revenue. So which would you rather have?

  1. rtbarry

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Aug 2001

    +1

    so louzer...

    ...how does that explain the street constantly underestimating the upside? guiding low and beating is of course wise. but aside from the obvious manipulation that occurs, you'd think these geniuses would have figured out the game and adjusted their expectations. and when AAPL meets or exceeds those expectations, reward the stock appropriately. instead of saying "we expected xxxx, and they only BEAT that by xx" raise your goddam expectations and then be happy when they hit it. but that doesn't play too well into the manipulation game, does it?

    i love that the institutionalized casino known as wall street turns to s*** because of bad companies and bad products/practices invented and used by brokers and then "investors" panic and pull out of AAPL even though they are doing exactly everything they should be doing, and more, in terms of performance and pipeline.

    free market != casino
    yet so many of these "investing products" and "strategies" are essentially just new casino machines.

    our equity market needs to return to the original intent of such a trading place: people invest in companies they believe in, and that need capital to grow. investors provide that capital, and the companies do their best to make your investment grow. how did it morph into this ridiculous playland where any idiot with a license starts buying ticker symbols, solely based on charts and rumors, instead of buying into real companies.

    in any case, whenever AAPL is artificially driven down, i buy more. and when i no longer believe in them, i'm out. i don't see that day coming any time soon. and the idiots who sold at a loss in this panic deserve to lose their money. how do you not hold onto a real company?

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